Showing posts with label future. Show all posts
Showing posts with label future. Show all posts

Friday, April 4, 2014

Symposium: McCutcheon and the future of campaign finance regulation

Once the Court granted probable jurisdiction in McCutcheon v. Federal Election Commission, it seemed likely, and was confirmed at oral argument, that a majority of Justices viewed aggregate contribution limits as unjustified under the First Amendment.  The predictable reactions to the decision fell into two longstanding camps:  the defenders of political freedom versus the guardians of regulation.  As reflected by the divided Court, there are those who seek to minimize government intrusion into political speech and those who believe considerable government regulation is necessary to safeguard democracy and prevent corruption.


Critics of the case are making the direst predictions since, well, Citizens United.  In his 2010 State of the Union address, President Obama personally lectured members of the Court and predicted a “stampede” of money resulting from that decision, including money from foreign sources.  The amount of money spent in subsequent elections rose, although at a rate no higher than in preceding elections.  The foreign money has yet to show up, perhaps that is because it is illegal for foreigners to contribute in American elections and courts since Citizens United upheld the ban.  Now some, including Justice Breyer in his dissent in McCutcheon (asserting “grave problems with democratic legitimacy”), seem to be predicting the collapse of our democracy.


The nation was not an illegitimate democracy and did not collapse in the first two hundred years or so of its existence, when there were few or no regulations of campaign financing.  It is hard to see how, when, or why the McCutcheon case and its limited holding will now destroy the foundation of our democracy.   It is more likely that the current predictions, like President Obama’s prediction after Citizens United, will not come true and that the underlying reason for the hysteria may be a growing realization that the First Amendment continues to curtail the extent to which advocates of campaign finance regulation can regulate.


The practical effect of McCutcheon is that individuals will still be subject to a limit (currently $ 2600) on contributions to any one candidate and higher limits on contributions to any PAC or party committee.  Now, however, donors will no longer be limited in the number of candidates or committees they may support.  The dissent indulges in elaborate speculation that individuals after the ruling theoretically may contribute to every candidate and every committee and thereby dispense over $ 3 million in contributions.  This is a little like saying that because Nazis have a First Amendment right to parade in Skokie, Illinois, we can expect Nazi parades to break out in every city and town in the country.  The fact is there aren’t that many wealthy individuals and there still are laws that prohibit earmarking and laundering.  Moreover, some people may be rich but they are not stupid.  They will not irrationally give money to candidates they don’t know, or don’t agree with or who don’t have a chance of winning or who don’t need the money or who may not even be in contested races.  Mr. McCutcheon had the charming patriotic habit of making his checks payable in the amount of $ 1776.  He gave checks to sixteen candidates before encountering the unconstitutional limit.  He stated that there were ten more candidates that he wanted to support with similar donations but legally could not.  Aren’t contributions to twenty-six candidates a more likely scenario than Justice Breyer’s extravagant hypothetical, which presumes contributions to 468 candidates?


There is no denying that some individuals like Mr. McCutcheon will increase the number of candidates that they support with their limited donations.  This will result in modest increased funding in a system that during 2011-2012 saw $ 7.2 billion raised and spent.  (Approximately $ 1 billion was raised and spent by President Obama’s reelection committee and the Democratic National Committee.)  The national parties are potentially greater beneficiaries, because they no longer will have to compete for a portion of a supporter’s overall limit on contributions to parties and committees.  Any increase in candidate or party funding is a positive development since the money is still subject to limit, publicly disclosed, and received by the electorally most accountable participants in politics.


While the relative practical effect of McCutcheon is modest, the continuing effect on future campaign reform may not be.  In a forty-year stream of cases starting with Buckley, the Supreme Court has questioned and struck down a litany of campaign finance schemes.  The unconstitutional statutes included:  limits on how much a candidate’s campaign can spend after collecting limited donations; limits or bans on how much an individual, a PAC, or a party committee could spend without collaborating with a candidate; a ban on contributions by minors; a contribution limit of $ 400 (too low); public financing programs that punished or rewarded persons who did not participate or who made independent expenditures; increased contributions for candidates who were opposed by candidates who fund their own campaigns; and independent spending by corporations and unions.   At the same time, Justice Clarence Thomas has been the only Justice who advocated overturning Buckley’s allowance for contribution limits.  His concurrence in McCutcheon did so again.


The Court’s jurisprudence sends a clear message to Congress and state legislators:  “You can impose a reasonable limit on how much a contributor can donate to a candidate’s campaign or to committees that donate to candidates, but you cannot limit or ban what else a donor does with money.”  This message started with Buckley.  CitizensUnited made the point emphatically.  McCutcheon is a logical and consistent extension.  Advocates of greater regulation still seem to be going through the five stages of grief over the fact that many of their ideas are simply unconstitutional.  After Citizens United they went through denial and anger.  Now they are somewhere between bargaining and depression.  If they reach acceptance, the final stage, they should focus on finding constitutional ways to regulate money in politics.  Chief Justice Roberts, writing for the Court, suggested mandatory public disclosure, solicitation rules and restrictions on transfers between and among committees in addition to existing rules.  Of course any laws  must avoid vagueness and overbreadth.  But the ultimate goal should be to promote transparency, avoid unnecessary burdens, and provide avenues for sufficient funding of political debate and associational activities.  The McCutcheon decision simply underscores that such goals can be accomplished without violating the First Amendment and without jeopardizing democracy.


Jan Witold Baran is a partner at Wiley Rein LLP where he heads the Election Law and Government Ethics Group.  He has argued four Supreme Court cases and represented parties in several others.  His amicus brief in Citizens United on behalf of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce was cited by the Court in its opinion.  He is the author of The Election Law Primer for Corporations, published by the American Bar Association.


In association with Bloomberg Law




SCOTUSblog



Symposium: McCutcheon and the future of campaign finance regulation

Wednesday, April 2, 2014

For young people, the future ain"t what it used to be

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For young people, the future ain"t what it used to be

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

In the Future, Home Appliances Will Be as Smart as Your Phone

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In the Future, Home Appliances Will Be as Smart as Your Phone

Monday, March 24, 2014

9/11 Museum Set to Open at Ground Zero Will ‘Educate Future Generations’

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9/11 Museum Set to Open at Ground Zero Will ‘Educate Future Generations’

Wednesday, March 19, 2014

Will Future Automobiles Run on Air?

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Will Future Automobiles Run on Air?

Friday, March 7, 2014

The Real Story Behind the Detroit Pension Fight and What it Means to America"s Future

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The Real Story Behind the Detroit Pension Fight and What it Means to America"s Future

Tuesday, March 4, 2014

The War on Whistleblowers May Have a "Chilling Effect on Future Acts of Conscience"

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The War on Whistleblowers May Have a "Chilling Effect on Future Acts of Conscience"

Friday, February 28, 2014

Algorithms and Future Crimes: Welcome to the Racial Profiling of the Future



More and more police departments are turning to "predictive policing," which has proven unmistakably racist.








Across the country, large police departments have been developing their ability to track where crime will happen next using predictive software. Known as “predictive policing,” the practice has made waves in the media over the last few years, capturing the imagination of futurists and tough-on-crime zealots, while offending the sensibilities of basically everyone else.


Proponents describe the program in techno-pragmatist terms, arguing that it uses data to make smart inferences about the future in much the same way meterologists do. Opponents compare the idea to hellishly dystopian stories like The Minority Report, where innocent people are rounded up because a computer said there was a chance they would break the law in the future.


There is one major feature of predictive policing that the libertarian critique often glosses over: it"s unmistakably racist. 


Any attempt to predict future criminality will be based on that of the past. It"s well known that blacks and Hispanics are arrested at a higher rate than whites and comprise the majority of the prison population. If that"s the reality that is supposed to inform who we criminalize in the future, won"t initiatives like predictive policing just perpetuate the racist criminal justice policies and practices of the present?


The Verge took these questions to Chicago to examine the most developed and well-financed iteration of predictive policing in the country. The Chicago Police Department users data on past crimes, information about disturbance calls and calls regarding suspicious persons to create a crime map that “highlights neighborhoods of the city that might soon be at risk of an uptick in crime.”


Keeping with the dry data-babbling sell, the predictive analyst behind Chicago"s program, Dr. Miles Wernick, compares it to his previous work in weather forecasting. “The recommendations of the mapping system will not replace the expertise of police officers, but instead [will] highlight potential concerns so police can take them into account,” he says.


CPD has also created a “heat list” comprised of around 400 Chicagoans who are “most likely to be involved in violent crime.” Police have already visited the homes of 60 people on the list, warning them like a schoolteacher warns a class clown that if they screw up, the law will be watching, and there will be serious consequences. 


Hanni Fakhoury, a staff attorney from the Electronic Frontier Foundation, summed up concerns about CPD"s use of predictive policing:


“Are people ending up on this list simply because they live in a crappy part of town and know people who have been troublemakers? How many people of color are on this heat list? Is the list all black kids? Is this list all kids from Chicago’s South Side? If so, are we just closing ourselves off to this small subset of people?”


For the moment, those questions cannot be answered because the CPD blocked an attempt by The Verge to access the heat list through a request filed under the Freedom of Information Act. 


Wernick insists, delusionally, that predictive policing “evaluates the risk of violence in an unbiased, quantitative way,” reaching for a smoking analogy to justify his claim:


[It is] similar manner to how the medical field has identified statistically that smoking is a risk factor for lung cancer. Of course, everybody who smokes doesn"t get lung cancer, but it demonstrably increases the risk dramatically. The same is true of violent crime.

Wernick and the CPD want to put already blighted communities in their crosshairs for enhanced police presence. Imagine that if instead of targeting them for more patrolling, they were targeted for more schools, social workers, and community-building resources.


Surely, that too would have an impact on the future of crime.


 

Related Stories


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Algorithms and Future Crimes: Welcome to the Racial Profiling of the Future

Friday, February 14, 2014

At Iranian Colleges, Some See Brighter Future In Another Country





hide captionIranian high school students sit for their university entrance examination in Tehran in 2009. Iran’s economy has been struggling in recent years, and many graduates feel they have few career options.



Mona Hoobehfekr/AFP/Getty Images



Iranian high school students sit for their university entrance examination in Tehran in 2009. Iran’s economy has been struggling in recent years, and many graduates feel they have few career options.


Mona Hoobehfekr/AFP/Getty Images



President Hassan Rouhani appeals to Iranian college students when he talks about creating more opportunities for the young. But the clock is ticking. Many of those born long after the 1979 Islamic revolution see limited prospects at home and envision a better future abroad.


Outside Tehran University, Iran’s largest, you can find earnest young students like Fazle Mahmoudian, 21, a math major who says he knows job prospects are grim, though he’s not looking to leave.


“Unfortunately, there aren’t many jobs for young graduates right now,” he said. “But our supreme leader (Ayaltollah Ali Khamenei) says if you rely on your own potential, everything will work out well.”


But it seems many more share the view of Said, 27, a post-graduate student who says many of his friends are looking to go abroad. He said he will probably leave as well, which is why he won’t give his last name.


He noted that the new government’s effort to rein in inflation and stabilize the Iranian currency may have the unintended consequence of increasing the number of departures.


A few years ago, Iranians exchanged their money into U.S. dollars at a reasonable rate. But the value of the Iranian rial has plummeted and it’s now a increasingly expensive for Iranians to raise enough money to go abroad.


Emigration from Iran is not a new issue. Migration Information Source, a U.S. non-profit, said back in 2006 that Iran was experiencing what it called one of “the highest rates of brain drain in the world.”





hide captionIran’s President Hassan Rouhani speaks to students at Shahid Beheshti University in Tehran on Dec. 7, 2013. Rouhani says he wants to create more opportunities, but many college-age Iranians are skeptical about the pace of change and some are looking to go abroad.



Mohammad Berno/AP



Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani speaks to students at Shahid Beheshti University in Tehran on Dec. 7, 2013. Rouhani says he wants to create more opportunities, but many college-age Iranians are skeptical about the pace of change and some are looking to go abroad.


Mohammad Berno/AP



Arman, 24, is studying architecture, having switched from chemical engineering. He asked that his last name not be used, because he doesn’t want to jeopardize his chances of getting an exit visa. When asked what opportunities he and his classmates could look forward to, he shook his head.


“Actually, you could say none. You could see people, especially young people, who are trying to run away,” he said.


Arman said this is true at his private university, where students from better-off families tend to go and that the same feeling prevails at the much larger Tehran University, a public institution.


“I sneak into Tehran University because I really want to see those people. Actually, they all just want to escape,” he said.




Arman and other students say the reason Iran turns out so many math and science majors is because those disciplines are more attractive to foreign post-graduate schools or companies. They also say it’s not just money that draws young Iranians away –- it’s the stifling social and political atmosphere.



Amir graduated to work in the family business, but his real passion is leftist politics, which is why he won’t give his full name. If youth is the time to experiment with diverse, even radical ideas, he said Iran right now is no place for the young. People are still reeling from the violent suppression of street protests following the 2009 presidential election.


Rouhani’s election victory last summer hasn’t made much difference, he said.


“I think it’s not really a change. We can’t have any collective groups, we don’t have a party,” he said. “They pushed people in Iran to vote between bad and worse. So people did that.”


In his address this week marking the 35th anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution, Rouhani singled out Iran’s universities as a place where restrictions are easing.


But the continuing desire to leave suggests that it will take far more than a better economy to persuade young Iranians that they’re seeing genuine change and not just cosmetic improvement.




News



At Iranian Colleges, Some See Brighter Future In Another Country

Saturday, February 1, 2014

The New School: Glenn Reynolds Reveals the Future of U.S. Education


InstaVision host Glenn Reynolds discusses education policy with Michelle Fields. Reynolds has a new book entitled “The New School”. Reynolds see alternatives…



The New School: Glenn Reynolds Reveals the Future of U.S. Education

Monday, January 27, 2014

Join the fight for an AIDS-free future


Nigel Barker photographs teens at a clinic in Tanzania.


Nigel Barker photographs teens at a clinic in Tanzania.





  • Photographer Nigel Barker is an ambassador for the Elizabeth Glaser Pediatric AIDS Foundation

  • Foundation’s mission is to create an AIDS-free generation

  • More than 700 children are infected with HIV every day, most as a result of mother-to-child transmission



Editor’s note: Nigel Barker is an internationally renowned photographer. After 17 seasons as the judge on the hit show “America’s Next Top Model,” he now hosts Oxygen network’s “The Face,” premiering its second season in March. The filmmaker, philanthropist and author is also an ambassador for the Elizabeth Glaser Pediatric AIDS Foundation.


(CNN) — I first became involved with the Elizabeth Glaser Pediatric AIDS Foundation (EGPAF) five years ago, when I traveled to Tanzania to take photographs and film a documentary about EGPAF’s work in Africa.


Today, I continue to be inspired by the mothers, health workers, volunteers and government officials I met during my travels who remain dedicated to stopping this deadly virus from infecting another generation.




Nigel Barker trying to convince the local medicine man on the Maasai Steppe to let him speak to women in the tribe who deliver the babies.

Nigel Barker trying to convince the local medicine man on the Maasai Steppe to let him speak to women in the tribe who deliver the babies.



But more than an inspiration, my trip to Tanzania was an education. I learned that not only is pediatric HIV almost 100% preventable, but that we have tools available to achieve an AIDS-free generation within this lifetime. By giving an HIV-positive pregnant woman access to antiretroviral therapy (ART) during pregnancy and breastfeeding, we can almost ensure that her baby will be born and remain HIV-free.




Photographing the Maasai, an African nomadic tribes people who have been heavily hit by HIV/AIDS.

Photographing the Maasai, an African nomadic tribes people who have been heavily hit by HIV/AIDS.



Sadly, many of the women and children who need these crucial services still don’t receive them. According to the 2013 UNAIDS Global Report, 700 children are infected with HIV. Most contract the virus from their mothers during pregnancy, childbirth or breastfeeding. And only one third of those children currently have access to the medications that will help them remain healthy.


Another UNAIDS report from 2012 says without ART, half of all HIV-positive children won’t live past the age of 2 and 80% of them will die before their 5th birthday.


While these numbers are staggering, so is progress that has been made since Elizabeth Glaser first started her fight to help children with pediatric HIV more than 25 years ago.


Pediatric HIV has been virtually eliminated in the United States and Europe and thanks to programs such as the United States President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), we are closer than ever before to ending pediatric HIV in Africa and other resource-limited regions around the world.


We can see evidence of PEPFAR’s positive impact firsthand in stories like that of Tatu Msangi, a woman I met during my trip to Tanzania.




Tatu Msangi, who is HIV-positive, works on homework with virus-free daughter Faith.

Tatu Msangi, who is HIV-positive, works on homework with virus-free daughter Faith.



Tatu discovered she was HIV-positive after becoming pregnant with her daughter, Faith, in 2004 — when HIV/AIDS was killing millions of people each year and resources to treat and prevent the virus in Africa were very limited.


But, thanks to PEPFAR, Tatu received the medicine she needed to prevent transmitting HIV to her child.


Today, almost 10 years later, Faith is happy, healthy and HIV-negative. Tatu was so inspired by PEPFAR and EGPAF’s work to help HIV-positive mothers and their children that she went back to school to become a nurse and now works at a clinic in Kilimanjaro.


This past June, Tatu and Faith joined U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry in Washington, DC to celebrate the fact that since PEPFAR began in 2003, 1 million babies, just like Faith, have been born HIV-free.


Preventing mother-to-child transmission of HIV is the first step toward achieving an AIDS-free generation.


I encourage everyone to take a few moments out of your day to learn more about the fight for an AIDS-free future. Tweet, post to Facebook, or even just talk to someone you know about pediatric HIV and what each of us can do to make sure that this generation is the last one to face this devastating epidemic.




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Join the fight for an AIDS-free future

Saturday, January 25, 2014

Who Will Determine the Future of Capitalism?

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Who Will Determine the Future of Capitalism?

Monday, January 20, 2014

After Seven Lean Years, Part 2: US Commercial Real Estate: The Present Position And Future Prospects

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After Seven Lean Years, Part 2: US Commercial Real Estate: The Present Position And Future Prospects

Saturday, January 18, 2014

Fukushima"s operator says spin-off an option only for the future




TOKYO Sat Jan 18, 2014 6:32am EST





Tokyo Electric Power Co


1 of 3. Tokyo Electric Power Co’s (TEPCO) President Naomi Hirose speaks during an interview with Reuters at the company’s headquarters in Tokyo January 18, 2014.


Credit: Reuters/Toru Hanai




TOKYO (Reuters) – Spinning off the clean-up project at Japan’s wrecked Fukushima nuclear plant from the rest of operator Tokyo Electric Power’s business could be an option in the future if the decommissioning runs smoothly, the company’s president said.


Nearly three years after a devastating earthquake and tsunami hit the plant, Tokyo Electric (Tepco) is still struggling to contain radioactive water at the site and turn around its battered finances.


“Paying compensation (to evacuees), decontamination, and the work at the Fukushima plant; there is a lot of work to be done … We have to continue doing this, while maintaining the workers’ safety, their sense of responsibility, duty and keeping up their morale,” said Naomi Hirose in an interview with Reuters on Saturday.


Hirose said if working conditions improve significantly at Fukushima and worker shortages become no longer a problem, the utility could consider hiving off the Fukushima decommissioning from the rest of the business, a suggestion that had been made by policymakers since the disaster. But for now, Hirose said he remained opposed to such a scheme.


Japan this week approved a plan by Tepco, Asia’s largest utility, which aims to make savings in costs of $ 46 billion over 10 years, upgrade fossil fuel power plants and join alliances with other firms to procure liquefied natural gas (LNG) more cheaply.


But central to Tepco’s revival plan is the restart of the reactors at Kashiwazaki Kariwa, the world’s biggest nuclear power plant, as early as July, which faces staunch opposition from a local governor who has repeatedly called for the company’s liquidation.


Governor Hirohiko Izumida of Niigata, home to the Kashiwazaki plant some 300 kilometers (180 miles) northwest of Tokyo, said this week Tepco’s plan does not hold shareholders and banks accountable. He has also said that Tepco must not be allowed to consider restarting its other nuclear facilities before a comprehensive review of the Fukushima disaster.


Tepco also said in its latest revival plan that it may have to raise electricity prices by as much as 10 percent if Kashiwazaki restarts are further delayed.


FUKUSHIMA WORKERS


The unprecedented, 30-year decommissioning plan for Fukushima relies heavily on technological breakthroughs and on Tepco managing to get enough staff to work there.


Tepco doubled pay for contract workers at the plant to around $ 200 a day last year after criticism over its handling of their pay.


Previously a Reuters investigation had found that the pay of some workers was being skimmed off by sub-contractors, some had been hired under false pretences, and some contractors had links to organized crime gangs.


Hirose said Tepco does not permit workers’ pay to be skimmed by the various companies in the chain of contractors operating at Fukushima, but admitted that verifying whether laborers’ wages had actually been docked or not was complex.


“We did not increase (wages) to give out more money to those (firms) in the middle. Raising wages from 10,000 yen ($ 100) to 20,000 yen was difficult for us … of course we want the money to reach the correct place,” he said.


($ 1=104.27 Japanese yen)


(Editing by Greg Mahlich)





Reuters: Business News



Fukushima"s operator says spin-off an option only for the future

Thursday, January 16, 2014

Obama, the Tea Party, and the Future of American Politics

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Obama, the Tea Party, and the Future of American Politics

Saturday, December 28, 2013

Designs On The Future

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Designs On The Future

Sunday, December 22, 2013

INVENTIONS OF THE FUTURE (Documentary) Technology/Science

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INVENTIONS OF THE FUTURE (Documentary) Technology/Science

Saturday, December 21, 2013

Bill Moyers and Michelle Alexander on the Racist Plague of Mass Incarceration and America"s Future

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Bill Moyers and Michelle Alexander on the Racist Plague of Mass Incarceration and America"s Future

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Western-raised jihadists pouring into Syria could threaten US in future

Western-raised jihadists pouring into Syria could threaten US in future
http://isbigbrotherwatchingyou.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/0a6d3__national_security_agency__printer_famfamfam.gif


Catherine Herridge
Fox News
November 13, 2013


Most of the more than 1,000 jihadists who have poured into Syria to fight alongside Al Qaeda carry passports from North America and Europe, raising the possibility that they could easily bring terror back to the west, according to a key lawmaker who receives regular briefings on the issue.


The prospect is especially chilling given that Al Qaeda-linked fighters in Syria seem determined to use the embattled nation as a haven from which to launch future attacks beyond the region, according to Rep. Mike Rogers, R-Mich., who chairs the House Intelligence Committee.


“The number now exceeds 1,000 western jihadists who have shown up, so they’ll have passports, good passports, allows them to travel around Europe, maybe get to the United States,” Rogers told Fox News. “That’s concerning.”


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This article was posted: Wednesday, November 13, 2013 at 12:28 pm


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