Showing posts with label deeper. Show all posts
Showing posts with label deeper. Show all posts

Friday, November 1, 2013

All-Time High Unemployment: The Economic Depression In Europe Just Keeps Getting Deeper


Michael Snyder
Economic Collapse
November 1, 2013


The unemployment rate in the eurozone is higher than it has ever been before.  This week we learned that eurozone unemployment came in at an all-time high of 12.2 percent for September.  Back in January 2012, it was sitting at just 10.4 percent.  So anyone that believes that “things are getting better” in Europe is just being delusional.  In fact, the economic depression in Europe just keeps getting deeper.  The funny thing is that the mainstream media will barely call what is going on in Europe a “recession” even though the unemployment rates in both Spain and Greece are now much higher than anything that the United States ever experienced during the “Great Depression” of the 1930s.  There haven’t been as many headlines about the financial crisis in Europe lately because the ECB has been papering over the debt problems of the periphery (at least for the moment), but the economic conditions on the ground for average Europeans just continue to get even worse.  Later on in this article, you will read about a 25-year-old Spanish man with three college degrees that moved to London in a desperate search for a job who is now cleaning up poop for a living.  The economic collapse of Europe continues to march on, and there is no end in sight.


All you have to do is look at the latest unemployment numbers to realize that things are getting worse in Europe.


In Italy, the unemployment rate is up to 12.5 percent.


In January 2012, less than two years ago, it was sitting at just 8.9 percent.


In Greece, the unemployment rate is up to an astounding 27.6 percent.


In January 2012, it was sitting at just 21.4 percent.


In Spain, the unemployment rate is up to 26.6 percent.


In January 2012, it was sitting at just 22.8 percent, and all the way back in January 2008 it was just 8.6 percent.


The youth unemployment statistics in the eurozone are even more horrifying…


Unemployment among the under-25s rose by 22,000 in September to 3,548,000 – nudging up youth jobless rate to 24.1%. In France, the youth jobless rate jumped from 25.6% to 26.1%, while in Italy it increased from 40.2% to 40.4%.



But as bad as those numbers are, they are nothing compared to what is going on in Spain and Greece.  In Spain, the youth unemployment rate is up to 56.5 percent, and in Greece the youth unemployment rate is up to 57.3 percent.


And of course unemployment is not the only problem that the European economy is dealing with right now.  The following are some more facts about the European economy that show that the economic depression in Europe just keeps getting deeper…


-European car sales are on pace to hit a 23 year low in 2013.


-The percentage of “bad loans” in Spain has soared to a new all-time record high.


-The number of mortgage applications in Spain has fallen 90 percentsince the peak of the market.


-Citigroup is projecting that the unemployment rate in Greece will reach32 percent in 2015.


-Over the last several years, Italy has experienced the biggest collapse in GDP growth that it has ever seen.  Overall, the GDP of Italy has contracted by about 8 percent since 2008.


-The number of unemployed workers in Cyprus is now five times higher than it was before the financial crisis of 2008.


-It is being projected that Spain’s debt to GDP ratio will rise to nearly 100 percent by the end of next year.


-The debt to GDP ratio of Portugal is already up to 123 percent.


-The debt to GDP ratio of Italy is already up to 127 percent.


-Even though Greece has implemented a whole host of “austerity measures”, the debt to GDP ratio of Greece is now up to 156 percent.


But what these numbers cannot really communicate is the tremendous amount of pain and despair that millions upon millions of Europeans are experiencing right now.


For example, consider the story of Benjamin Serra Bosch, a 25-year-old Spanish man that moved to London in a desperate search for a job.  He has three college degrees, including a Master’s Degree from the IEBS Business School in Barcelona.  The following is a rough translation of a message that he recently posted on Facebook…


My name is Benjamín Serra, I have two bachelor degrees and a master’s degree, and I clean toilets.


No, it is not a joke. I do it to pay the rent for my room in London.


I’ve been working in a famous chain of cafes in the United Kingdom since May, and for the first time today, after 5 months working there, I see it clearly. I have been cleaning toilets. My thought was: “I received distinction in my two degrees and I clean other peoples’ poop in a country that isn’t my own.” Well, I also make coffee, clean the tables and wash cups.


And I am not ashamed to do so. Cleaning is a very decent job. What embarrasses me is having to do so because no one has given me an opportunity in Spain. Like me, there are many Spaniards, especially in London. “You are a plague,” I was told once here. And let’s not kid ourselves. We are not young people on an adventure to learn the language and have new experiences. We are immigrants.


I’ve always been very proud, I am not going to deny. Those who know me, you know. And I have to bust out a smile at customers who look over my shoulder as I am simply a “barista” (as they call it here). Some are so outrageous that it makes me want to pull out my University and master degrees and put them in their face. But it would not really do anything.  It appears that those titles now only serve to clean the poop that I clean from the toilets in the cafe. A pity.


I thought that it deserved something better after putting so much effort in my academic life. It seems that I was wrong.



As economic conditions continue to decline all over Europe, anger and frustration with the “European experiment” continue to grow.  UKIP’s Nigel Farage expressed these sentiments very eloquently during a speech on the 23rd of October when he stated that “what we are saying, large numbers of us from every single EU member state is: we don’t want that flag, we don’t want the anthem that you all stood so ram-rod straight for yesterday, we don’t want EU passports, we don’t want political union.”


Unfortunately, the elite of Europe are so obsessed with their little experiment that the only “solutions” to these economic problems that they are even willing to consider involve even more European integration.


And Americans certainly should not be looking down their noses at what is happening in Europe.


What is going on in Italy, France, Spain and Greece will be coming here soon enough.  In fact, even during the midst of this so-called “economic recovery”, poverty continues to absolutely explode in the United States.


Economic conditions in both the United States and Europe have never even gotten close to where they were prior to 2008, and now the next major wave of the economic collapse is rapidly approaching.


This is just the beginning.  Things are going to get much worse in the years ahead.


This article was posted: Friday, November 1, 2013 at 5:59 am


Tags: economics, financial, money










Infowars



All-Time High Unemployment: The Economic Depression In Europe Just Keeps Getting Deeper

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Illinois Teachers Pension Fund is 40% Funded, Drops Deeper Into Hole Despite Investment Return of 12.8%; What"s the Solution?

Illinois Teachers Pension Fund is 40% Funded, Drops Deeper Into Hole Despite Investment Return of 12.8%; What"s the Solution?
http://currenteconomictrendsandnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/21120__TRS1.png

In spite of a 12.8% annual return, with an 8% return assumption, the Illinois Teachers Retirement System (TRS) fell another $ 3.5 billion in the hole. TRS pension underfunding grew to $ 55.73 billion as of June 30, 2013.

Via email, the Illinois Policy Institute explains the growing liability.

First, TRS only has $ 0.40 in the bank for every dollar it should have today to make necessary pension payouts in the future. That means the high investment returns in 2013 were earned on less than half of the assets that TRS should have

TRS acknowledged this in a recent press release:


“Despite these strong returns, TRS cannot invest its way out of the funding hole we are in,” Ingram added. “This increase in the System’s unfunded liability, even with good investment results, is another wake-up call to state officials and our members that TRS long-term finances continue to head in the wrong direction.”


“Without changes to the pension code to ensure sustained and adequate funding, TRS faces the very real possibility that in a few decades the System will not have enough money to pay benefits to retirees. We cannot guarantee that TRS will have enough money to pay the pensions promised to every member in the System.”


Second, the inherent flaws of the state’s defined benefit pension system have driven up the shortfall significantly. According to the Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, the state’s pension shortfall grew by $ 41 billion from 1996 to 2012.


Of that amount, nearly $ 23 billion came from some form of missed “assumption” that continually plagues defined benefit pension plans:


  • The investment returns for the state’s five pension funds were lower than their assumed 8% expectation. Cost to taxpayers: $ 9.5 billion.

  • Unplanned benefit increases for employees. Cost to taxpayers: $ 1.1 billion.

  • Changes in actuarial assumptions. Cost to taxpayers: $ 4.9 billion.

  • “Other” actuarial factors. Cost to taxpayers: $ 7.2 billion.

TRS fails to acknowledge the failures of the defined benefits plan and instead chooses to blame taxpayers for not contributing enough to the system.


Who is to Blame for Shortfalls?


Please consider the Illinois Policy Center report State pension contributions: Taxpayers bear the brunt of increasing pension costs

A common refrain sounded by public sector unions is that government workers have consistently “paid their share” into Illinois’ pension systems and the state has not. However, the facts tell a different story.

While government worker contributions to Illinois’ five pension systems have increased by 75 percent since 1998, taxpayer contributions have increased by 427 percent over the same period. In 2012 alone, Illinois taxpayers contributed $ 3.5 billion more to the pension systems than state workers did.



Government workers’ share, as a percentage of total contributions, has continued to decline when compared to taxpayers’ contributions. In 1998, government workers paid for 47 percent of the state’s total pension contribution; today, they only pay 21 percent. By 2045, government workers will be expected to pay only 17 percent of total pension contributions.


Illinois’ Five Pension Systems


Illinois has five state pension systems, and all of them are seriously underfunded:


  1. The Teachers’ Retirement System, or TRS, manages pensions for teachers across Illinois (excluding Chicago).With more than 130,000 active members and nearly 95,000 retirees, TRS is the largest pension system in the state. Unfortunately, TRS also has the highest unfunded liability of the state’s pension systems. In 2012, TRS was only 40.6 percent funded and officially had more than $ 53.51 billion in unfunded liabilities. TRS members contribute 9.4 percent of their salary to the pension system.

  2. The State Employees’ Retirement System, or SERS, manages pensions for state-level employees across Illinois. It has 62,000 active members and 50,000 retirees. In 2012, SERS was only 33.1 percent funded and had officially $ 22.13 billion in unfunded liabilities. Under its regular pension formula, SERS members covered by Social Security contribute 4 percent of their salary, and those not covered by Social Security contribute 8 percent of their salary to the pension system.

  3. The State Universities Retirement System, or SURS, manages pensions for employees working at state universities. It has 71,000 active members and more than 45,500 retirees. In 2012, SURS was only 41.3 percent funded and had officially $ 19.46 billion in unfunded liabilities. SURS members contribute 8 percent of their salary to the pension system.

  4. The Judges’ Retirement System, or JRS, manages pensions for judges throughout the state. It is one of the two smaller pension systems, with only 968 active members and 725 retirees. Despite its small size, in 2012 JRS was only 28.6 percent funded and officially had $ 1.44 billion in unfunded liabilities. JRS members contribute 11 percent of their salary to the pension system.

  5. The General Assembly Retirement System, or GARS, manages pensions for members of the Illinois General Assembly. Despite having only 176 active members and 294 retirees, GARS has the dubious honor of being the worst-funded pension system in the state. In 2012, GARS was only 17.4 percent funded and officially had $ 251 million in unfunded liabilities. GARS members contribute 11.5 percent of their salary to the pension system.

All Five Systems Bankrupt


TRS, SERS,SURS, JRS, and GARS are all insolvent. None of them can possibly meet their pension obligations. With 10-year treasuries yielding a scant 2.5%, plan assumptions of 8% are preposterously high on a sustained basis.


Yet, TRS went another $ 3.5 billion in the hole in spite of a 12.8% annual return.


What the hell is TRS going to do in the face of a stock market plunge, a bond market plunge, or both?


GARS, the General Assembly Retirement System is only 17.4% funded. Is it any wonder that state legislators are pressing for more tax hikes?


Beware Tax Hikes!


On October 18, I reported Illinoisans Beware: “Progressives” Seek Massive Tax Hike Again; Fight the Hike!


Pension shortfalls are the reason for the proposed hikes.


A few people commented the “progressive” tax was not as much as they pay. Here is Rep Naomi Jakobsson’s proposed scheme.



Property Taxes


What I failed to point out previously is that I pay $ 14,000 annually in property taxes on a home I can sell for $ 400K or so.


Sales Taxes


My sales tax rate is  7.75%. But hey, that could be worse. Cicero tops the state with a 9.5% tax. In Chicago, the sales tax is 9.25%.


In spite of all these massive taxes, the entire state is bankrupt!


The Solution


Raising taxes for the benefit of legislators and seriously undeserving public unions is certainly not the answer. The solution is twofold:


  1. Immediately kill all Illinois public defined-benefit pension plans

  2. Drastically lower existing pension plan expectations, via default if necessary

Nothing else can possibly work, and the numbers prove it.


Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis




Read more about Illinois Teachers Pension Fund is 40% Funded, Drops Deeper Into Hole Despite Investment Return of 12.8%; What"s the Solution? and other interesting subjects concerning Commentary at TheDailyNewsReport.com

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Obama challenges Russia to agree to deeper nuclear weapon cuts

BERLIN (Reuters) – U.S. President Barack Obama used a speech in Berlin on Wednesday to call on Russia to revive the push for a world without nuclear weapons, offering to cut deployed nuclear arsenals by a third, but Moscow immediately poured scorn on his proposal.



Reuters: Top News



Obama challenges Russia to agree to deeper nuclear weapon cuts

Obama challenges Russia to agree to deeper nuclear weapon cuts

BERLIN (Reuters) – U.S. President Barack Obama used a speech in Berlin on Wednesday to call on Russia to revive the push for a world without nuclear arms by agreeing to target further reductions of up to one third of deployed nuclear weapons.



Reuters: Top News



Obama challenges Russia to agree to deeper nuclear weapon cuts