For Stocks, April Is The Least Cruel Month

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For Stocks, April Is The Least Cruel Month

Chinese Stocks Enter Bear Market Following 2 More Defaults Overnight

At The Daily News Source, the privacy of our visitors is of extreme importance to us (See this article to learn more about Privacy Policies.). This privacy policy document outlines the types of personal information is received and collected by The Daily News Source and how it is used.

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Chinese Stocks Enter Bear Market Following 2 More Defaults Overnight

Hong Kong Stocks Trade Higher, But Shanghai Weak

HONG KONG –  Hong Kong stocks rose in early trading Friday, with the Hang Seng Index up 0.4% at 21,505.21. Chinese developers were mixed, as a state-run newspaper reported sluggish property-market activity in China’s largest cities during the Lunar New Year holiday amid worries that the government may further tighten controls to cool real estate prices. Beijing North Star Co. Ltd. dropped 0.6%, China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd. lost 0.5%, and China Resources Land Ltd. fell 0.9%. Two of China’s largest residential developers — Vanke Property Overseas Ltd. and Poly Property Group Co. Ltd. advanced, with Poly Property up 1.9% and Vanke adding 1.1%. Mobile carriers rose, as China Telecom Corp. Ltd gained 0.3% after being raised to outperform by Credit Suisse. China Unicom (Hong Kong) Ltd climbed 2.2%, and China Mobile Ltd. tacked on 0.7%. On the mainland, the Shanghai Composite Index declined 0.8% on the first day of trading after a seven-day break for the Lunar New Year. During the holiday, China released its official manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for January, which slipped to a six-month low.

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FOX Business

Hong Kong Stocks Trade Higher, But Shanghai Weak

Marc Faber "US Stocks Need To Drop 40% To Become Attractive"

“The market is way overdue for a 20 to 30% drop,” Marc Faber warns, “but that is not what worries him.” Sarcastically reflecting on the typical talking-head that appears on financial media, Faber adds you won’t “hear this view from someone who is fully invested,” as he “hopes the market drops 40% so stocks will become – from a value point of view – attractive.” The outspoken Faber channels Jim Grant as he exclaims, “the experience with quantitative easing is a complete failure. It has lifted asset prices and created asset inflation, but it hasn’t lifted the standard of living of most people in the U.S. nor worldwide.”

 

“I think the market is way overdue for a 20 to 30 percent correction,”

Japanese Stocks In Freefall - TOPIX Plunges Almost 5% To 4-Month Lows

Despite the hope-driven exuberance exhibited immediately post the Abe/Kuroda show, the USDJPY-pumping stock-momentum fest has ended – abruptly. Japan’s Nikkei 225 has lost all its gains and is now trading below US day-session lows (3-month lows) but it is the broader TOPIX index (more akin to the S&P 500) that is collapsing. Down almost 5% on the day (its biggest drop since the May collapse), the TOPIX is at 4-month lows. The TOPIX Real Estate index just hit a bear-market – down 20% from Dec 31st highs. Japanese sell-side shops are in full panic desparation mode as “suggestions” that a sub-14,000 Nikkei will prompt an acceleration of Japan’s QQE money-printing idiocy. This is getting ugly fast.

TOPIX collapses to 4-month lows…

As Bloomberg notes, the sell-side is in full panic mode…

Japan’s central bank will probably boost purchases of ETFs as early as this month if Nikkei 225 drops to about 14,000, Hidenao Miyajima, chief strategist at Parnassus Investment Strategies in Tokyo, says in interview.

 

But this won’t help as the ramp in USDJPY is not helping…

 

and The TOPIX Real Estate Index is in Bear market territory – down 20% from Dec 31st highs… and 6 month lows…

 

Charts: Bloomberg

Zero Hedge

Japanese Stocks In Freefall - TOPIX Plunges Almost 5% To 4-Month Lows

VIDEO: Asian Markets Fall Sharply After Fed Decision

Asian markets declined after the Fed announced a pullback on its bond-buying program, the second time in six weeks. The WSJ’s Deborah Kan speaks with Jake Lee about the ripple effect it has had on global markets.

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VIDEO: Asian Markets Fall Sharply After Fed Decision

Stocks down: Fed exit rattles markets, again

Adam Shell
USA Today
January 28, 2014

Are the Federal Reserve’s fingerprints on Wall Street’s latest 911 call?

If there’s been a traceable pattern to the U.S. stock market’s biggest dips in recent years, including the latest swoon driven by turbulence in emerging markets, it is this: Sell-offs have coincided with periods when the Federal Reserve was ending or pulling back on its market-friendly stimulus programs.

Ever since the Fed began its unprecedented bond-buying program in late 2008, stocks have tended to go up when the central bank has been in the market supporting asset prices. In contrast, stocks have declined whenever the Fed has been out of the market or cutting back on its asset purchases.

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This article was posted: Tuesday, January 28, 2014 at 3:32 pm

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Stocks down: Fed exit rattles markets, again

VIDEO: Do You Have What It Takes to Be a Navy SEAL?

Need a new career in 2014? How about trying to be a Navy SEAL? Former Navy SEAL and author Rorke Denver discusses what it takes to join the elite group, and tips on how normal folks can be more disciplined. Photo: Rorke Denver.

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U.S. Stocks End Broadly Lower

Tomi Kilgore
The Wall Street Journal
January 23, 2014

Stocks suffered broad declines as weak data out of China spooked investors, triggering a flight out of riskier assets.

The increase in market volatility, which included sharp selloffs in emerging markets and the biggest tumble in Argentina’s currency in over a decade, came as U.S. stocks has struggled in recent weeks to regain the upward momentum seen at the end of 2013.

On Thursday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 175.99 points, or 1.1%, to 16197.35, the lowest close since Dec. 19.

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This article was posted: Thursday, January 23, 2014 at 3:53 pm

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U.S. Stocks End Broadly Lower

Asian stocks muted on Fed tapering outlook

Asian stocks muted on Fed tapering outlook

BEIJING (AP) — Asian stock markets were muted Thursday amid concern an improved U.S. economy might prompt the Federal Reserve to reduce its stimulus faster than previously expected.
Business Headlines

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VIDEO: Analysis: Does the Volcker Rule Go Far Enough?

After nearly three years of haggling between regulators and bankers, the so-called Volcker rule is on the cusp of becoming law. But even after years of debate, big questions remain about this rule. Neil Barofsky, the former special inspector general of the TARP program, joins MoneyBeat.

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VIDEO: Analysis: Does the Volcker Rule Go Far Enough?

US stocks surge after jobs report

AFP
December 6, 2013

US stocks surged Friday after a better-than-expected labor report showed solid job creation in November and boosted prospects that the Federal Reserve will begin to taper stimulus.

After 45 minutes of trade, the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 130.39 points (0.82 percent) to 15,951.90.

The broad-based S&P 500 advanced 15.03 (0.84 percent) to 1,800.06, while the tech-rich Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 20.22 (0.50 percent) to 4,053.38.

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This article was posted: Friday, December 6, 2013 at 11:11 am

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US stocks surge after jobs report

UPDATE 1-Weak drinks stocks take the fizz out of UK"s FTSE

UPDATE 1-Weak drinks stocks take the fizz out of UK"s FTSE
http://currenteconomictrendsandnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/ac3cc__p-89EKCgBk8MZdE.gif

Tue Nov 26, 2013 12:18pm EST

* FTSE closes down 0.9 percent at 6,636.22 points

* Remy profit warning hurts SAB Miller and Diageo

* Most traders still expect year-end rally

* FTSE 100 still up around 13 pct since start of 2013

By Sudip Kar-Gupta

LONDON, Nov 26 (Reuters) – Britain’s benchmark equity index fell on Tuesday, pulled down by major drinks stocks such as SAB Miller and Diageo on signs of slowing consumer demand in China.

But many traders said that any market weakness in November would be followed by a rally in December that could push the index back to its 2013 peaks.

The blue-chip FTSE 100 index closed down by 0.9 percent, or 58.40 points, at 6,636.22 points. Trading volumes came in at about 1.5 times above the average 90-day volume for the index.

SAB Miller fell 2.4 percent while Diageo fell 1.6 percent after a profit warning at rival Remy Cointreau, which pointed to a slowdown in China.

Together, SAB Miller and Diageo took the most points off the FTSE 100.

“The Remy profit warning left SAB Miller and Diageo licking their wounds,” Sucden Financial trader Andrew Crook said.

Tim Gregory, head of global equities at Psigma Investment Management, argued that even though the drinks sector faced near-term challenges, its longer-term outlook was more robust.

Many analysts expect drinks groups to gradually cash in on rising consumer demand in areas such as China and India.

“Although there are clearly short term headwinds for the high-end spirits market, the long-term opportunity for the industry is still strong, so we would see any short-term weakness in stocks like Diageo as an opportunity to buy the shares,” said Gregory.

The FTSE remains up by around 13 percent since the start of 2013. It reached a five-month peak of around 6,800 points in late October, having hit a 13-year peak of 6,875.62 points in late May, helped by a gradual recovery in the British economy.

“We’re still expecting a year-end rally, but we won’t buy unless it either falls to 6,600 points or if it holds above 6,700,” Logic Investments director of trading Darren Easton said.

APS Alpha technical strategist Adrian Slack also expected the FTSE to get back to the 6,800 level in December.

Slack said if it rose above that, it could then challenge the 7,000 point level by the end of 2013, which would represent an all-time high for the index.

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Reuters: Financial Services and Real Estate

Read more about UPDATE 1-Weak drinks stocks take the fizz out of UK"s FTSE and other interesting subjects concerning Real Estate at TheDailyNewsReport.com

Healthier U.S. consumers bode well for retail stocks: Barron"s

Healthier U.S. consumers bode well for retail stocks: Barron"s
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NEW YORK Sun Nov 24, 2013 12:57pm EST

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Optimism about a strong holiday sales season in the United States led Barron’s to tout nine retail store stocks in its November 25 edition.

Although there are six fewer shopping days between Thanksgiving and Christmas this year and the S&P Retail Select Industry index is up 42 percent year to date, retail store trade group NRF forecast that sales this year should rise 3.9 percent over last year.

That led reporter Jacqueline Doherty to write that “good shoppers can always find bargains” in the stock market.

Barron’s list of potential winners are: Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY.O), Home Depot Inc (HD.N), Macy’s Inc (M.N), Coach Inc (COH.N), Chico’s FAS Inc (CHS.N), Urban Outfitters Inc (URBN.O), Dollar General Corp (DG.N), Dillards Inc (DDS.N) and Kohl’s Corp (KSS.N).

The paper said the particularly dramatic rise in the stock price and price-to-earnings ratios of Restoration Hardware Holdings Inc (RH.N) and Michael Kors Holding Ltd (KORS.N) suggest “limited” future advances in those stocks.

(Reporting By Jed Horowitz; Editing by Maureen Bavdek)

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Reuters: Business News

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Stocks higher following retail sales increase

Stocks higher following retail sales increase

NEW YORK (AP) — Stocks are higher on Wall Street Wednesday as investors react to a surprisingly big increase in U.S. retail sales last month and better quarterly results from J.C. Penney and other companies.
Business Headlines

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Stocks are mixed following earnings from retailers

Stocks are mixed following earnings from retailers

NEW YORK (AP) — Stocks were mixed on Wall Street Tuesday as investors digested another round of corporate earnings, this time from retailers including Home Depot, Best Buy and the parent company of T.J. Maxx.
Business Headlines

Read more about Stocks are mixed following earnings from retailers and other interesting subjects concerning Economy at TheDailyNewsReport.com

Fed stimulus, China reform promises buoy stocks

Fed stimulus, China reform promises buoy stocks

PARIS (AP) — Hopes that the U.S. Federal Reserve will continue to support the world’s largest economy and a new reform effort in China shored up markets Monday, particularly in the U.S. where the main stock indexes broke new ground.
Business Headlines

Read more about Fed stimulus, China reform promises buoy stocks and other interesting subjects concerning Economy at TheDailyNewsReport.com

VIDEO: Will J.C. Penney Pull Off A Turnaround?

J.C. Penney has blunted its steep drop in sales. Now investors want to know if the improvement can last. Suzanne Kapner discusses on MoneyBeat. (Photo: Getty)

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VIDEO: Will J.C. Penney Pull Off A Turnaround?

Gee, We’re All On One Side Of The Boat Now — Long The S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow, Eurozone Stocks, The Nikkei….

by Charles Hugh-Smith

It may appear to be safe for everyone to be on the same side of the boat, but the gunwale is awfully close to the water.

Gee, we’re all on one side of the boat now–long the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow, Eurozone stocks, the Nikkei, not to mention rental housing, junk bonds, bat quano, ‘roo belly futures and the quatloo–basically every “risk-on” trade on the planet–is that a problem?

The conventional (and convenient) answer is “nah–stocks can only rise from here.”So what if market bears have fallen to 15% or less? So what if 85% of investors are on the same side of the boat? You’d be nuts to leave the winning side, the trend-is-your-friend side, the “don’t fight the Fed” side, the side with all the “smart money.”

It may appear to be safe for everyone to be on the same side of the boat, but the gunwale is awfully close to the water. With the sea remarkably calm (i.e. no waves of turbulence or volatility), the fact that the boat is overloaded doesn’t seem dangerous.

But once the sea rises even a bit and water starts lapping over the gunwale, the “guaranteed safety” of the bullish trade might start looking questionable.

When the boat takes on water quicker than anyone believes possible and capsizes, it will be “every punter for himself.” But few longside punters are wearing lifejackets.

This is all Investing 101: be wary of extremes of euphoria and confidence and being on the same side of the trade as everyone else. Yet everyone continues adding to their long positions without adding portfolio protection (puts, etc.):

Three indicators suggest this move will reverse shortly, either in a “healthy correction” or a reversal of trend–which one cannot be determined until the downturn is underway.

The rapid rise of the market has traced out a bearish rising wedge. This pattern usually leads to some sort of correction. The MACD histogram is divergent, dropping to the neutral line as the SPX has soared ever higher. Lastly, price has pulled away from both the 50-day and 200-day Moving Averages, suggesting the rubber band is remarkably stretched.

Round-number attractors are close at hand. The SPX at 1798 is two measly points from the round-number attractor of 1800, and the Dow at 15,961 is a coin-toss away from its round-number attractor of 16,000. This level will invite great cheering (“new all time high,” never mind adjusting for inflation) and also present an opportunity for the imbalanced boat to capsize.

Even more astonishing, the crowd is also betting on volatility declining from extreme lows. Look at the put and call options on the VXX, a security that tracks the short-term volatility of the VIX: at the money December calls (bets volatility will rise by December 20) number 311 while puts (bets volatility will decline some time between now and December 20) number 11,265.

Hey, you 311 bears! Join us 11,265 longs on the guaranteed winning side of the boat! Uh, thank you for the kind offer, but no thanks. Though the uncrowded side is uncomfortably above the water at this point, with 11,265 fattened Bulls on the side close to the waterline, the few on this side are less likely to be trampled when physics trumps psychology.

Hey all you PhDs in Behavioral Economics: perhaps you could investigate the “how many angels can dance on the head of a pin?” nature of this psychological conundrum: the market can only do what few expect of it, so if everyone is looking for bubbles, there can’t be any bubbles. But what else do you call a market that rises 10+% in a mere 6 weeks?

In other words, if people are looking at the market and realizing it is dangerously close to capsizing, then it can’t capsize because the market can only capsize if nobody expects it. The absurdity of this argument is revealed by turning it around: if Bulls confidently expect the market to keep rising, then how can it rise when everybody expects it to rise?

The answer to the question “how many angels can dance on the head of a pin?” is the same as the answer to the question, “How many Bulls can crowd on one side of the trade without capsizing the boat if there are 311 Bears on the other side?” The absurdly concise answer is 11,265–at least for now.

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Gee, We’re All On One Side Of The Boat Now — Long The S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow, Eurozone Stocks, The Nikkei….

VIDEO: Couple Lives on Bitcoin for 101 Days

The virtual currency bitcoin has been much in the news lately. Most of the news has focused on scams and swindles and ponzi schemes, but can you actually just simply live on bitcoin? Austin and Beccy Craig did and explain their experience on MoneyBeat.

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VIDEO: Couple Lives on Bitcoin for 101 Days